A Quinnipiac University poll released last week showed presidential hopeful Joe Biden has a 51 per cent to 38 per cent lead over Donald Trump in the "Sunshine State".
79% in Florida say require face masks in public, #Coronavirus handling weighs on #RonDeSantis, #PresidentTrump numb… https://t.co/AECrjZxMuC
— Quinnipiac University Poll (@Quinnipiac University Poll)
In another poll, conducted by St. Pete Polls for FloridaPolitics.com and AARP Florida, Biden led Trump in Florida by 6 points, receiving 50.4 per cent of votes compared with Trump's 44.4 per cent. This poll also found Biden leading Trump across all gender and age demographics in the battleground state, except for voters over 70.
Here are all the reasons why this means something for the Biden campaign:
Because of the way the electoral college works, certain states are way more important than others. Florida, along with New York, is the joint third biggest state in the electoral college, with 29 electors, after California (55) and Texas (38).
The president, whose official address is in Palm Beach, seems to know he needs to fight to stay in the race.
If Biden clinches Florida, it shows the country is read for a change.
3. Biden's lead in the state provides him with 'a lot of backup options, given that it's worth 29 electoral votes'.
According to an analysis of recent Florida polls by CNN's Harry Enten, “if Biden adds the 29 electoral votes from Florida to the states Clinton took in 2016, he gets 261 electoral votes. Biden would need just nine electoral votes more to get an electoral college majority,” he said.
Again, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee appear to be highly aware of how crucial of winning the state is to his reelection: they have more than 180 staffers on the ground in every county of the state, according to The Hill.
The campaign also said it has made 10.4 million Florida voter contacts during the cycle, a substantial increase from the 1.5 million voter contacts it made by November 2016.
And while Florida’s erupting coronavirus outbreak seems like a microcosm of the larger issues the president and the nation are facing, the Trump campaign and American voters are definitely not easily understood.