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On Wednesday morning, Eric Trump sent out an email to Donald Trump's campaign supporters, which claimed "right now all the momentum is on our side".
Which is a dramatic claim after the polls show he has slumped following comments displaying a relaxed attitude to sexism and sexual assualt, and a poor second debate performance.
Eric Trump wrote:
We’re making huge gains against Crooked Hillary that you can see for yourself.
...before including a version of the below map, by Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.
There is a small problem with doing this - it was based on modelling what the result would be if only men voted.
And here's if just dudes voted. https://t.co/HjqJzIVwc4 — Nate Silver (@Nate Silver)
If only women voted, the picture is very different.
Here's what the map would look line if only women voted: https://t.co/sjVY67qouE https://t.co/rrc3GuXmGl — Nate Silver (@Nate Silver)
As is the overall picture, which currently shows Hillary winning pretty damn comfortably.
Unfortunately for Trump, women have the vote.
People have been mocking the selective reporting openly, with some pretty creative interpretation:
Politics aside this @538politics poll is really eye opening. https://t.co/qObKs3Vpi7 — Jesse McLaren (@Jesse McLaren)
what the election would look like if only llamas could vote https://t.co/HQWgpPFbEW — Christopher Ingraham (@Christopher Ingraham)
here's what it would look like if only I were voting in the election https://t.co/OdAmoYE0oP — Christopher Ingraham (@Christopher Ingraham)
Is Nate Silver okay? His tweets are becoming quite troubling: https://t.co/ZbEUyE18WK — pixelatedboat aka “mr tweets” (@pixelatedboat aka “mr tweets”)
Here’s what the election would look like if only dogs voted. https://t.co/PK9H1n7IM3 — Nu Wexler (@Nu Wexler)
Here's what the electoral map would look like if it were the election of 1560. https://t.co/K7hLg8Ecoj — Chris Geidner (@Chris Geidner)
Here's what the election map would look like if it were actually just a map of South America, unrelated to the elec… https://t.co/yBthjUCUAu — Adam Davis (@Adam Davis)
Here's what the US electoral map would look like if the election were being held 200 million years ago: https://t.co/VKAZ1FYmhZ — Dan Hall (@Dan Hall)
Even Nate Silver has been pretty frank about The Donald's chances at present:
Live look-in at the Republican Party. https://t.co/QZ4UFhEgPU — Nate Silver (@Nate Silver)
What a time to be alive.
We've gone ahead and tried to predict the next FiveThirtyEight prediction.
Probably not far off, if we're honest.
More: Here's a clip of Donald Trump firing someone on the Apprentice for 'locker room talk'