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The conflicts likely to be fought in 2016

Smoke billows from the Syrian rebel-held area of Douma, east of the capital Damascus on 16 September 2015
Smoke billows from the Syrian rebel-held area of Douma, east of the capital Damascus on 16 September 2015

The likelihood of conflict in different countries around the world next year has been evaluated in an annual study.

The Center for Preventive Action, a policy unit for the Council of Foreign Relations, evaluates the likelihood that conflicts will emerge to help US policymakers in prioritising prevention and crisis migration demands.

The Preventive Priorities Survey found that:

concerns over the implications of growing instability and conflict in the Middle East dominate[d] the results of the 2016 survey.

Half the mid-range priorities involved Middle Eastern countries while a further intensification of the Syrian civil war topped the list in terms of priority to the the United States.

The survey concluded that, in order of priority, these are the conflicts which the US most needs to keep an eye on in 2016:

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