Join the news democracyWhere your votes decide the Top 100
Donald Trump is leading in the latest election predictions.
Many bookmakers and live trackers are shifting to predict a Trump victory.
The New York Times gives the Republican more than a 95 per cent chance of winning the presidency.
More good news for his supporters is the lead Trump has where it counts - in the electoral college.
The late surge in the campaign for Trump, and then the election night false sense of security, only to be shattered by new predictions is reminiscent of the EU Referendum vote.
Fraser Nelson shared this chart showing how wrong the Bookies got it when it came to the EU Referendum, putting Remain far ahead.
This is how the bookmakers odds looked on polling day for the EU referendum. My blog on deceptive data:… https://t.co/7Aakg7NG37 — Fraser Nelson (@Fraser Nelson)
Some have dismissed the comparison.
Brexit analogy misses point. Rational grounds for being in/ out of EU. Tonight a far starker choice of views, leaders risks - & more serious — anne mcelvoy (@anne mcelvoy)
But others recognise the same strand of emotion involved rather than rational thinking.
I've seen this horror movie already #ElectionNight #brexit — James Purefoy (@James Purefoy)
And your grandparents almost definitely voted for Trump... So yeah, this is exactly what Brexit feels like. — 😶 (@😶)
Brexit was a blown tire. This is the car exploding. — Reuben (@Reuben)
Some pointed out how now that the dollar is 'reacting' to a likely Trump presidency, the pound is recovering.
The remainers should be happy the pound is recovering against the dollar very quickly!!! 😀😀😀 #USElection2016 https://t.co/yUswY7kEFq — BennettsFieldBunny🏴 (@BennettsFieldBunny🏴)
In all of this, the common factor is Nigel Farage being underestimated again.
More: Americans don’t want Trump or Clinton - they just want the election to be over
More: The best unofficial commentary of the US elections